The College Football Czar

Week 15

 

 

Week fourteen in review: If it's Championship Week, then that should mean all of the conference races have been decided, but in reality, many of them are still wandering around, confused. Oh, they've assigned their championship game participants, just not often in so clear-cut a manner as the Big Ten and Big XII. When the race for second place turns into a piranha feeding frenzy, as it has in many of the other leagues, the usual one-on-one tiebreaking formulas seldom apply. Therefore, the decisive factor in some of these contests has been an average among computer ranking systems. They might as well have used a Ouija board.

Come to think of it, whoever came up with this system deserves to be given a ouija. You probably remember that computer ratings prominently figured into the old BCS system that everybody supposedly hated, but it hardly mattered because it was only being used to match the two best teams in the nation, which were usually pretty obvious to most people anyway. Figuring out who's the most deserving among the five ACC teams that tied for second place, or the four Mountain West teams that tied for first, requires a tiebreaking process with a little more clarity.

The College Football Czar hastens to point out that he opposed the elimination of divisions all along. In this era of analytics, in which everybody is a mathematical super genius, eight of the nine conferences latched onto this latest fad without stopping to think that a race among 16-18 teams is likely to produce a tie among three teams or more. With the game of college football threatened on multiple fronts already, we really don't need The Powers That Be Stupid to adopt every counterproductive idea that comes rolling down the pike. It's as if everybody in charge of the sport has got Munchausen syndrome by proxy.

The CFP has already gotten some bad news, in that one team in the field of twelve will be playing without its head coach. Lane Kiffin of Ole Miss has accepted the head job with his conference (and formerly division) rival LSU. He asked if he could remain with the 11-1 Rebels through the playoffs, but athletic director Keith Carter wisely said no, and instead named defensive coordinator Pete Golding the new head coach. The Czar hopes this setback for the sport will lead to a clear delineation between the season and the offseason, such that there's no recruiting, no transferring, and no poaching of other team's coaches, until the current football season is entirely over.

Another playoff contender lost its head coach when Jon Sumrall was introduced at Florida. Tulane is still going to let him coach the Green Wave in the American Conference championship game, and then in the CFP if the team qualifies. That means Sumrall is going to be coaching one team while recruiting for another. This should never be. Coach, you're a Gator now. Get out.

It is being reported that UCLA is about to hire away James Madison head coach Bob Chesney, which would mean there is a possibility that one fourth of the CFP field of twelve will be participating in the playoffs during a coaching change. The playoff-mongers have been only too happy to see this kind of chaos afflict the bowl season in recent years. Did they think their system would be immune?

In other coaching news, former Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald is returning to the Big Ten as head coach of Michigan State, which dismissed Jonathan Smith after only two seasons. Fitzgerald had been fired from NU amid a hazing scandal, only to later sue the school and receive an undisclosed settlement. At the time of his firing, he was said to have instructed his senior players to sexually assault the underclassmen as a means of imposing team discipline. As it became apparent that no evidence existed that the coach knew of the alleged hazing, the sordid stories gradually morphed into spurious accusations of racism and vague suggestions of general unniceness. Obviously, his detractors would not have changed the subject had he really been directing a system of serial molestation.

Nevertheless, the Czar has his reservations about Fitzgerald being hired for another head coaching job. There really was hazing going on within the Northwestern football program, allegedly in the locker room, right under his schnozz. Doesn't the coach's unawareness of it indicate a lack of institutional control that should preclude him from being responsible for another entire program? It's tempting to assume that his new employers must know what they're doing, but remember, this is Michigan State, as in the former employer of Larry Nassar.

Elsewhere, Kentucky has fired thirteen-year coach Mark Stoops, who departs with a career record of 82-80. That's okay if you're the neighboring Cincinnati Reds, but an SEC football program expects better. South Florida coach Alex Golesh has been hired by Auburn, while Ryan Silverfield is making a short trip from Memphis to Arkansas. Jim Morajr, who has done a masterful job resurrecting a Uconn program that is unwanted even by its own administrators, has left the Independent program for comparative stability at Colorado State. Stanford, which had played the entire season under interim coach Frank Reich, has finally settled on former Cardinal QB Tavita Pritchard as its new skipper.

After starting Thanksgiving weekend with a 4-4 record through Friday, the Czar rallied on Saturday to finish at 15-7. For the season, his record stands at 169-102, for a .624 winning percentage.

Dec. 5

Conference USA Championship -- Jacksonville, AL -- 7:00 (CBSSN)

Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State

If it's another Jax State home game, that means we're in for a post-Thanksgiving leftover serving of Chicken Picasso, which looks somewhat less healthy than your holiday bird hopefully did. KSU visited AmFirst Stadium less than a month ago, and departed with a 35-26 loss that has ultimately given the Gamecocks home field advantage for this championship rematch. That's a good thing as far as the conference is concerned, because The Amf has got double the capacity of Fifth Third Stadium in Kennesaw. Besides, that place isn't even spelled correctly. Don't they know that Fifth Third is spelled V-III? And they call themselves a football team.

Owl quarterback Amari Odom owes them a better game than he gave them that day, when he threw three picks as the team finished minus-4 in turnovers. In two games since, he has lit up Missouri State and Liberty for a total of nine TDs with no interceptions.

Cam Cook has been the answer for JSU this season, as he leads the conference with 1,588 rushing yards. Considering the time of year, the question must have been, Cam Yam Cook? Even if the answer is yes, the College Football Czar isn't having any of it. I mean, just look at the stuff. The person who first discovered that yams were edible probably tried slugs, tree bark and meadow muffins first.

Jacksonville State 32, Kennesaw State 29

Sun Belt Championship -- Harrisonburg, VA -- 7:00 (ESPN)

Troy at James Madison

It must be tough to be a Trojan when you've probably got the whole league rooting against you. With playoff prospects for JMU looking more promising by the week, an upset by 8-4 TSU would cost the conference in terms of prestige and revenue.

The Old College Troy has persevered since getting pummeled at Old Dominion, 33-0 in Week 12. In their next road game, they stopped Southern Miss 28-18 to break a tie atop the Sun Belt West. They got a lot of sis-boom-bah for their buck out of RaRa Thomas that day. The former Mississippi State and Georgia Bulldog WR pulled down five receptions for a season-high 118 yards and two TDs, while adding 39 rushing yards on three carries.

The Dukes have put up more than 50 points four times in their last six games of the regular season. Last week at Coastal Carolina, they more than tripled their opponents in total yardage, in a 59-10 flogging. In rushing yardage alone, they outgained CCU 286 yards to minus-5.

One of these days, the College Football Czar is going to start standing up at games and cheering "sis-boom-bah" with all the faux sincerity he can muster. It's about time he started dishing out a little reciprocal annoyance to all of the "Sweet Caroline" dorks seated around him.

James Madison 44, Troy 23

American Conference Championship -- New Orleans -- 8:00 (ABC)

North Texas at Tulane

Because each of these teams is currently ranked ahead of James Madison, the winner of this game ought to clinch a playoff bid. It's not a sure thing, however, because the CFP ratings are subjective. If this game goes to overtime, and Jimmy Mad mashes Troy by five touchdowns, who's to say that some easily impressed pollsters wouldn't give the Sun Belt champion the edge?

Drew Mestemaker has made a mest of things for opposing defenses all season. The freshman Mean Green quarterback leads the nation in passing with 3,835 yards, while tossing 29 touchdowns and only four INTs. If he leads UNT into the playoffs, that would be nearly as big an upset as if he returns to Denton for his sophomore year.

The 10-2 Green Wave get this game at home at Yulman Stadium by virtue of having the better CFP rating, which in this case happens to yield the correct result. The TU nonconference schedule was far superior to that of the meanies, with a loss to Ole Miss, and wins over Duke and Northwestern.

How come the guys with the mean, green thing on their helmets are not the Mean Green? Is that an attempt at taunting?

Tulane 52, North Texas 42

Mountain West Championship -- Boise -- 8:00 (FOX)

UNLV at Boise State

These teams, each of which finished 6-2 in the conference, get this opportunity compliments of a combination of four different computer rankings, which leave New Mexico and San Diego State on the wrong end of a four-way tie. Or, they finished Third First and Fourth First, as a banker might say, were he a lardhead.

In Week 8, the Broncos bombarded the visitors from Vegas 56-31, which is why they welcome them back to the same stadium for the conference championship game. If that story sounds familiar, it's because they beat the Rebels in a regular season game a year ago, thus entitling them to host the 2024 MWC title game, which they won 21-7 to advance to the playoffs. This sequel is not likely to have as happy an ending because BSU is unranked, unlike Tulane, North Texas and James Madison. Basically, they've got to root for Troy to topple JMU and Duke to down Virginia, and then hope to get the nod over the Blue Devils for the final spot.

Nobody in this league has a good record against Boise State, but the Rebs are 0-8. Last year's clash on the crinkly carpet of Allegiant Stadium was the only one that has even been close. For the series, the average game for them has been a 24-point defeat.

The Broncs are probably never going back from their irritating blue turf at this point, but at least you'd think a team that has been so successful through its 30-year run in Division I-A football would finally do something about those uniforms. Even after winning three Fiesta Bowls, they still look as if the team bus stopped at Burlington on its way to the stadium, and their helmet logo must have been the product of a "draw the horsehead" contest at a postgame tailgate party.

Boise State 33, UNLV 17

Dec. 6

Big XII Championship -- Arlington -- Noon (ABC)

Brigham Young vs. Texas Tech

The Mushroom Man has said thank you very mulch to Penn State for its interest, but no thanks. Tenth-year Cougar coach Kalani Sitake would rather remain in Provo, where the fans react quite a bit less angrily to an 11-1 season. He has signed what is being described as a lengthy contract extension to remain at BYU, although the exact length of it is apparently a secret for some reason or other.

In the Cougars' only loss of the regular season, they were rubbed out in Lubbock, 29-7 in Week 11. This time, they'll try to erase the minus-3 mark in turnovers that took them out of that game. Had they done a better job holding onto the ball, they surely would have given running back L.J. Martin more than the ten carries he got that day. Once they trailed 16-0 early in the third quarter, they stopped seriously trying to make any gains on the ground.

At 43.2 points per game, the Red Raiders are the third highest-scoring team in the nation, after North Texas and Indiana. That win over BYU was the only game in their past four in which they outscored their opponents by fewer than 39 points.

If you were a mushroom, you'd want to stay put in Utah, too. The ones that wander into Colorado don't tend to last very long these days.

Texas Tech 38, Brigham Young 21

MAC Championship -- Detroit -- Noon (ESPN)

Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan

The RedHawks finished in a three-way tie for second place with Ohio and Toledo. They lost to both of those teams, but because the Bobcats and Rockets didn't play each other, head-to-head results weren't used to break the tie. Instead, Miami advanced based on its having the best record among the three against common opponents WMU, Northern Illinois and Ball State. That's got to be the dumbest way to determine a winner since the Pineapple Grand Prix on Speed Racer. Imagine trying to explain to some NASCAR driver that he lost because Trixie took the pineapple out of his trunk.

The Broncos' only conference defeat was against MU in Oxford, 26-17 in Week 9. Hawk QB Dequan Finn threw for 260 yards that day, but he abandoned his team with two games remaining to "prepare for the draft," which makes about as much sense as letting the league's fourth-best team play for the championship. In his absence, the better of the two quarterbacks has been freshman Thomas Gotkowski, who has barely completed more than half of his passes.

This is a moment the College Football Czar has been dreading for several years now. If a player can opt out of a "meaningless bowl game," then why bother showing up for that mid-November regular season game against Buffalo? You could see this coming since 2016, when Christian McCaffery and Leonard Fournette blew off their bowl games, and the sports media sillyputtyheads took the almost unanimous position that anything a player does in his own interest is ethically unassailable.

If there were ever a movie made about Dequan Finn, it would have to be called Finn's Rainbow, because he is living in a fantasyland of leprechauns and pots o' gold. Here's a guy who played two good seasons at Toledo, but then transferred to Baylor, where he was injured early and appeared in only three games. Then he returned to the Mid-American Conference to have a mediocre most-of-a senior year with the RedHawks, passing for 1,451 yards with nine touchdowns and six INTs, until he quit on his teammates before the regular season was over. And he imagines that by doing this, he has put himself on a path to fame and riches in the NFL? In keeping with the cinematic theme, perhaps he should just change the spelling of his name to "Fin."

Western Michigan 28, Miami Ohio 10

SEC Championship -- Atlanta -- 4:00 (ABC)

Georgia vs. Alabama

Like all stadiums that have retractable domes, the one in Atlanta is seldom retracted, but on this occasion, the College Football Czar would like to propose a compromise. Open the dome on top of the stadium, and close the one on top of Kirby Smart's head. Aesthetic improvements all around.

There was a four-way tie for first place in the SEC, so how did they determine that these teams should meet for the championship for the third time in five years? Perhaps they figured the game is ruined anyway by playing it indoors, so they created the one matchup fans would least want to see.

It's the fifth time overall that Bama and UGA have battled at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with the Crimson Tide winning the previous four, in the national championship game to end the 2017 season, and SEC title games in 2018, 2021 and 2023. The Bulldogs' only victory against the Tide in their last eleven tries has been the CFP for the 2021 season, which was played in Indianapolis.

Earlier this year in Athens, the pachyderms played keep-away, as they ran 77 plays to 53 for the Dogs. They set the tone early by taking each of their first two possessions for a methodical, 14-play touchdown drive, totaling almost 13 minutes of game time between them.

Athens, Georgia that is. They can't play football in Athens, Greece, because nobody has any arms over there.

See? The museum is educational!

Alabama 21, Georgia 20

Big Ten Championship -- Indianapolis -- 8:00 (FOX)

Indiana vs. Ohio State

This is perceived as a virtual home game for IU, being just about an hour away from Bloomington, but it's also well under a three-hour drive from Columbus. Hopefully, the traveling fans don't get lost on their visit to the Circle City, or they could just end up driving round town all day. Nyuk, nyuk.

For the second year in a row, the Buckeyes boast the best defense in the nation, while the Hoosiers are rated #4. A year ago, IU actually finished second, although it was not quite as good statistically then as it is now. OSU is allowing only 203 yards and 7.8 points per game, which is an improvement of more than 50 yards and five points over where it finished in 2024.

A lot of big midseason wins don't hold up over time, but one that has is the Hoosiers' 30-20 victory at Oregon in Week 7. If defeating the fifth-ranked Fighting Ducks on the road doesn't mean they're for real this time, then nothing will.

The Hoosiers have taken a lot of lumps from the nuts over the years, losing 29 consecutive games in the series, going back to a 27-27 tie in 1990. Their all-time record against OSU is 12-80-5, but that doesn't matter now, because this is their first meeting of the Curt Cignetti era. Cignetti figures to be a transformational coach, like Bill Snyder at Kansas State. Anything that preceded him is hereby irrelevant.

A conference championship between two undefeated teams would become one of the most memorable games of the decade if it meant anything. Unfortunately, it doesn't, at least not much. Each of these teams is bound to get a first-round bye in the CFP, which means the most important thing that might be decided is who will wear what color uniform if they meet again in the playoffs.

In the absence of a national championship, it would still be a big deal to the candelabra-heads if they could carry off the Big Ten trophy, but for their more accomplished opponents, this game just seems like a waste of energy. Until the real postseason starts, Buckeye coach Ryan Day has got more important things to do, like stopping the Ferris wheel at the top so he can try to steal a smooch from Olive Oyl.

Indiana 17, Ohio State 14

ACC Championship -- Charlotte -- 8:00 (ABC)

Duke vs. Virginia

The five-way tiebreaker for second place broke the Blue Devils' way because their conference opponents had a higher winning percentage than those of the other four teams. They're without a quality win, however, having lost to UVa and Georgia Tech and not played SMU, Miami or Pitt.

As a result, the ACC could be left out of the 12-team tournament altogether, and no, that is not a justification for expansion. It is widely assumed that the winner of every power conference qualifies, but the rule is actually that the best five conference champions make it in, and the winners of the American and Sun Belt would probably beat out an 8-5 ACC also-ran.

The Cavaliers doubled up the Devils in Week 12, by a final of 34-17. That was their biggest conference victory of the season, because they didn't play any of the other four teams that finished 6-2. They've won three ACC games against middling teams in overtime, with their only loss in conference play to Wake Forest. They've also lost to Nc State, but that doesn't count in the standings because it was officially a nonconference game.

You can only call the ACC championship a power conference game in the same way that a wussy song by an 80s hair band is called a "power ballad." It puts on a pretention of toughness, when in reality it's just a drippy demonstration of anti-manliness that is overly impressed with itself and drones on entirely too long.

and yet, you feel weirdly compelled to watch. Unless it's by Motley Crue, that is. Even fans of ACC teams have their standards.

Virginia 37, Duke 29

 

 

The College Football Czar

a sports publication from The Shinbone